NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VILL GTWN
Points 79.2 67.0
Total Points   146.3
Points From 2-Pointers 35.9 26.6
Points From 3-Pointers 28.8 28.9
Points From Free Throws 14.5 11.6
Shooting VILL GTWN
Field Goals Made 27.6 22.9
Field Goals Attempted 55.0 57.0
Field Goal % 50.2% 40.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 13.3
2 Pointers Attempted 28.2 28.6
2 Point Shooting % 63.7% 46.4%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 26.8 28.4
3 Point Shooting % 35.9% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 14.5 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.2 16.1
Free Throw % 79.7% 72.0%
Ball Control VILL GTWN
Rebounds 34.2 31.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.3 22.4
Rebounds - Offensive 6.9 9.1
Turnovers 8.6 9.5
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.2
Steals 5.9 4.5
Fouls 14.0 13.9

Playing Style Advantage: Georgetown

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VILL GTWN
Total Possessions 67.3
Effective Scoring Chances 65.5 66.9
% of Possessions with VILL GTWN
2 Point Attempt 37.4% 36.9%
3 Point Attempt 35.5% 36.6%
Player Fouled 20.7% 20.9%
Turnover 12.8% 14.2%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken VILL GTWN
Shot Blocked 5.7% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 25.0%