NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARIZ WASH
Points 89.3 76.7
Total Points   166.0
Points From 2-Pointers 48.2 40.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.4 24.0
Points From Free Throws 18.6 12.3
Shooting ARIZ WASH
Field Goals Made 31.6 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 65.3 63.6
Field Goal % 48.4% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 24.1 20.2
2 Pointers Attempted 44.9 40.0
2 Point Shooting % 53.7% 50.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 20.4 23.6
3 Point Shooting % 36.6% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 18.6 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 26.2 17.2
Free Throw % 71.0% 71.5%
Ball Control ARIZ WASH
Rebounds 43.6 32.2
Rebounds - Defensive 30.5 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 7.3
Turnovers 10.0 12.0
Blocked Shots 3.9 3.6
Steals 7.6 5.5
Fouls 16.0 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Washington

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARIZ WASH
Total Possessions 78.3
Effective Scoring Chances 81.4 73.6
% of Possessions with ARIZ WASH
2 Point Attempt 48.4% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 22.0% 27.1%
Player Fouled 22.1% 20.4%
Turnover 12.8% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 7.0% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARIZ WASH
Shot Blocked 5.7% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 34.4% 19.4%