NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KSU KU
Points 67.0 73.9
Total Points   140.8
Points From 2-Pointers 27.7 43.0
Points From 3-Pointers 24.2 15.5
Points From Free Throws 15.1 15.4
Shooting KSU KU
Field Goals Made 21.9 26.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.0 59.9
Field Goal % 39.1% 44.5%
2 Pointers Made 13.9 21.5
2 Pointers Attempted 31.6 42.8
2 Point Shooting % 43.9% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 24.4 17.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 30.1%
Free Throws Made 15.1 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 21.5
Free Throw % 71.9% 71.4%
Ball Control KSU KU
Rebounds 36.1 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.4 10.0
Turnovers 13.0 9.4
Blocked Shots 2.8 4.2
Steals 4.9 8.0
Fouls 15.2 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KSU KU
Total Possessions 72.4
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 73.0
% of Possessions with KSU KU
2 Point Attempt 37.8% 51.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.2% 20.5%
Player Fouled 20.4% 21.0%
Turnover 18.0% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken KSU KU
Shot Blocked 7.1% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 25.4% 27.2%