NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KSU KU
Points 66.9 87.0
Total Points   153.9
Points From 2-Pointers 28.6 46.1
Points From 3-Pointers 28.8 23.2
Points From Free Throws 9.5 17.6
Shooting KSU KU
Field Goals Made 23.9 30.8
Field Goals Attempted 68.8 62.6
Field Goal % 34.7% 49.2%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 23.1
2 Pointers Attempted 37.2 40.6
2 Point Shooting % 38.5% 56.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 31.7 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.4% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 9.5 17.6
Free Throws Attempted 13.2 23.0
Free Throw % 71.7% 76.5%
Ball Control KSU KU
Rebounds 33.7 47.0
Rebounds - Defensive 22.2 34.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 12.5
Turnovers 9.3 9.6
Blocked Shots 3.6 6.1
Steals 5.9 5.4
Fouls 15.4 10.9

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KSU KU
Total Possessions 73.8
Effective Scoring Chances 76.0 76.7
% of Possessions with KSU KU
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 36.1% 25.1%
Player Fouled 14.8% 20.9%
Turnover 12.5% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken KSU KU
Shot Blocked 9.9% 5.3%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 36.1%