NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KSU TEX
Points 66.7 73.2
Total Points   139.9
Points From 2-Pointers 32.4 38.9
Points From 3-Pointers 18.0 18.6
Points From Free Throws 16.3 15.6
Shooting KSU TEX
Field Goals Made 22.2 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 53.0 60.6
Field Goal % 41.8% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 19.5
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 40.7
2 Point Shooting % 46.9% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 18.5 19.9
3 Point Shooting % 32.4% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 16.3 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 22.7 20.4
Free Throw % 71.9% 76.5%
Ball Control KSU TEX
Rebounds 36.2 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 11.0
Turnovers 14.0 9.1
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.7
Steals 4.6 7.8
Fouls 15.3 16.8

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KSU TEX
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 67.0 73.0
% of Possessions with KSU TEX
2 Point Attempt 41.7% 48.8%
3 Point Attempt 22.3% 23.8%
Player Fouled 23.6% 21.5%
Turnover 19.6% 12.8%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken KSU TEX
Shot Blocked 7.9% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 28.8% 29.5%