NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ACU SFA
Points 71.3 67.6
Total Points   138.9
Points From 2-Pointers 35.4 39.3
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 8.6
Points From Free Throws 17.4 19.6
Shooting ACU SFA
Field Goals Made 23.9 22.5
Field Goals Attempted 53.0 45.0
Field Goal % 45.1% 50.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.7 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 34.6 34.4
2 Point Shooting % 51.2% 57.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 2.9
3 Pointers Attempted 18.4 10.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 27.3%
Free Throws Made 17.4 19.6
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 28.0
Free Throw % 71.1% 70.1%
Ball Control ACU SFA
Rebounds 28.2 32.2
Rebounds - Defensive 18.6 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 8.7
Turnovers 15.7 20.3
Blocked Shots 3.3 3.2
Steals 9.2 8.9
Fouls 20.1 19.4

Playing Style Advantage: Abl Christian

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ACU SFA
Total Possessions 74.6
Effective Scoring Chances 68.5 63.0
% of Possessions with ACU SFA
2 Point Attempt 40.4% 40.7%
3 Point Attempt 21.5% 12.4%
Player Fouled 26.0% 26.9%
Turnover 21.0% 27.2%
Opponent Steal 11.9% 12.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ACU SFA
Shot Blocked 7.1% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.1% 31.9%