NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ACU SFA
Points 70.0 72.9
Total Points   142.9
Points From 2-Pointers 33.6 38.6
Points From 3-Pointers 17.0 15.8
Points From Free Throws 19.4 18.5
Shooting ACU SFA
Field Goals Made 22.5 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 50.9 52.0
Field Goal % 44.1% 47.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 36.4 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 46.2% 52.8%
3 Pointers Made 5.7 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 14.5 15.5
3 Point Shooting % 39.0% 34.1%
Free Throws Made 19.4 18.5
Free Throws Attempted 26.4 26.3
Free Throw % 73.4% 70.3%
Ball Control ACU SFA
Rebounds 29.4 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 21.4 24.6
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 10.7
Turnovers 14.8 15.7
Blocked Shots 2.2 2.5
Steals 7.8 7.4
Fouls 19.8 19.5

Playing Style Advantage: Abl Christian

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ACU SFA
Total Possessions 74.3
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 69.3
% of Possessions with ACU SFA
2 Point Attempt 43.7% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 17.4% 18.0%
Player Fouled 26.2% 26.7%
Turnover 20.0% 21.2%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 10.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken ACU SFA
Shot Blocked 4.8% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.5% 33.3%