NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ACU NEOM
Points 72.7 71.9
Total Points   144.5
Points From 2-Pointers 38.5 38.6
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 15.3
Points From Free Throws 15.7 18.0
Shooting ACU NEOM
Field Goals Made 25.4 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 55.8 53.0
Field Goal % 45.6% 46.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 39.1 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 5.1
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 16.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.0% 31.4%
Free Throws Made 15.7 18.0
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 24.0
Free Throw % 73.4% 75.0%
Ball Control ACU NEOM
Rebounds 31.9 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 26.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.7 7.9
Turnovers 9.9 11.1
Blocked Shots 1.7 1.9
Steals 6.1 4.9
Fouls 17.8 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Neb Omaha

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ACU NEOM
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 68.9 67.9
% of Possessions with ACU NEOM
2 Point Attempt 49.1% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 21.0% 20.4%
Player Fouled 22.9% 25.1%
Turnover 13.9% 15.7%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ACU NEOM
Shot Blocked 3.5% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.9% 24.6%