NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAV MASS
Points 69.0 71.2
Total Points   140.2
Points From 2-Pointers 33.6 36.2
Points From 3-Pointers 19.6 19.5
Points From Free Throws 15.8 15.5
Shooting DAV MASS
Field Goals Made 23.3 24.6
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 57.4
Field Goal % 42.3% 42.8%
2 Pointers Made 16.8 18.1
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.1% 29.6%
Free Throws Made 15.8 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 22.7
Free Throw % 73.6% 68.2%
Ball Control DAV MASS
Rebounds 33.6 38.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 12.6
Turnovers 10.5 10.3
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.9
Steals 6.0 6.6
Fouls 15.5 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Davidson

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAV MASS
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 68.3 71.8
% of Possessions with DAV MASS
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 26.3%
Player Fouled 23.9% 22.3%
Turnover 15.1% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 8.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAV MASS
Shot Blocked 5.1% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 34.2%