NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KSU WVU
Points 75.0 69.7
Total Points   144.7
Points From 2-Pointers 32.2 32.1
Points From 3-Pointers 27.3 20.8
Points From Free Throws 15.5 16.8
Shooting KSU WVU
Field Goals Made 25.2 23.0
Field Goals Attempted 57.2 56.9
Field Goal % 44.1% 40.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 16.0
2 Pointers Attempted 29.9 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 53.9% 44.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 27.3 21.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 15.5 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 23.9
Free Throw % 71.9% 70.4%
Ball Control KSU WVU
Rebounds 38.5 34.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.8 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 9.9
Turnovers 11.9 10.5
Blocked Shots 4.1 3.5
Steals 5.8 5.2
Fouls 17.3 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: W Virginia

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KSU WVU
Total Possessions 71.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 71.2
% of Possessions with KSU WVU
2 Point Attempt 35.6% 43.0%
3 Point Attempt 32.5% 25.3%
Player Fouled 21.3% 24.2%
Turnover 16.6% 14.6%
Opponent Steal 7.2% 8.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken KSU WVU
Shot Blocked 6.3% 7.2%
Offensive Rebound 30.4% 26.3%