NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring VILL SYR
Points 73.4 70.6
Total Points   144.0
Points From 2-Pointers 31.7 36.1
Points From 3-Pointers 30.9 23.1
Points From Free Throws 10.8 11.5
Shooting VILL SYR
Field Goals Made 26.2 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 58.2 57.4
Field Goal % 44.9% 44.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.9 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 29.7 35.2
2 Point Shooting % 53.4% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 7.7
3 Pointers Attempted 28.5 22.2
3 Point Shooting % 36.1% 34.6%
Free Throws Made 10.8 11.5
Free Throws Attempted 13.5 15.7
Free Throw % 79.7% 72.8%
Ball Control VILL SYR
Rebounds 36.0 31.1
Rebounds - Defensive 28.0 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.0 6.0
Turnovers 11.7 9.1
Blocked Shots 2.3 4.1
Steals 5.0 7.7
Fouls 13.9 12.0

Playing Style Advantage: Syracuse

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats VILL SYR
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 66.2 66.7
% of Possessions with VILL SYR
2 Point Attempt 37.3% 45.8%
3 Point Attempt 35.8% 28.9%
Player Fouled 17.2% 19.8%
Turnover 16.7% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 11.0% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken VILL SYR
Shot Blocked 7.2% 4.0%
Offensive Rebound 24.2% 17.6%