NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAV VCU
Points 61.4 68.1
Total Points   129.5
Points From 2-Pointers 28.9 27.8
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 25.1
Points From Free Throws 14.0 15.2
Shooting DAV VCU
Field Goals Made 20.6 22.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 52.8
Field Goal % 37.8% 42.2%
2 Pointers Made 14.4 13.9
2 Pointers Attempted 32.1 28.4
2 Point Shooting % 45.0% 48.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 8.4
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 24.3
3 Point Shooting % 27.5% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 14.0 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 19.7
Free Throw % 73.6% 77.2%
Ball Control DAV VCU
Rebounds 32.9 36.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 8.6
Turnovers 9.9 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.9
Steals 6.3 6.4
Fouls 14.6 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: VCU

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAV VCU
Total Possessions 67.2
Effective Scoring Chances 65.9 65.0
% of Possessions with DAV VCU
2 Point Attempt 41.5% 37.0%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 31.6%
Player Fouled 22.1% 21.8%
Turnover 14.7% 16.0%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 9.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAV VCU
Shot Blocked 7.5% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 23.5% 26.1%