NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAV UNLV
Points 65.5 69.9
Total Points   135.5
Points From 2-Pointers 32.2 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 20.5 18.7
Points From Free Throws 12.8 15.5
Shooting DAV UNLV
Field Goals Made 22.9 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 56.2 54.0
Field Goal % 40.8% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 17.9
2 Pointers Attempted 32.6 34.9
2 Point Shooting % 49.4% 51.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 6.2
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 19.1
3 Point Shooting % 28.9% 32.6%
Free Throws Made 12.8 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 17.4 21.3
Free Throw % 73.6% 73.0%
Ball Control DAV UNLV
Rebounds 33.1 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 9.4
Turnovers 10.3 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.1
Steals 5.7 5.4
Fouls 15.0 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: UNLV

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAV UNLV
Total Possessions 67.4
Effective Scoring Chances 66.7 66.8
% of Possessions with DAV UNLV
2 Point Attempt 41.5% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 24.4%
Player Fouled 20.5% 22.3%
Turnover 15.2% 14.8%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAV UNLV
Shot Blocked 7.7% 6.8%
Offensive Rebound 26.9% 28.4%