NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UK MISS
Points 65.0 63.6
Total Points   128.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.0 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 18.5 14.1
Points From Free Throws 15.5 13.8
Shooting UK MISS
Field Goals Made 21.7 22.6
Field Goals Attempted 54.1 59.8
Field Goal % 40.1% 37.7%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 36.5 43.6
2 Point Shooting % 42.5% 41.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 4.7
3 Pointers Attempted 17.6 16.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 29.0%
Free Throws Made 15.5 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.5 19.4
Free Throw % 72.1% 71.1%
Ball Control UK MISS
Rebounds 36.3 39.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 13.2
Turnovers 12.9 11.9
Blocked Shots 5.3 3.8
Steals 5.8 5.8
Fouls 15.2 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Mississippi

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UK MISS
Total Possessions 70.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.4 71.8
% of Possessions with UK MISS
2 Point Attempt 44.6% 50.7%
3 Point Attempt 21.5% 18.9%
Player Fouled 23.3% 21.5%
Turnover 18.2% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UK MISS
Shot Blocked 6.5% 9.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 33.0%