NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UK MISS
Points 87.3 78.2
Total Points   165.6
Points From 2-Pointers 43.4 36.1
Points From 3-Pointers 28.1 25.7
Points From Free Throws 15.9 16.4
Shooting UK MISS
Field Goals Made 31.1 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 63.8 63.4
Field Goal % 48.7% 42.0%
2 Pointers Made 21.7 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 41.4 40.2
2 Point Shooting % 52.4% 44.9%
3 Pointers Made 9.4 8.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.3 23.2
3 Point Shooting % 41.9% 37.0%
Free Throws Made 15.9 16.4
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 22.5
Free Throw % 78.2% 73.0%
Ball Control UK MISS
Rebounds 39.5 35.1
Rebounds - Defensive 28.9 24.1
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 10.9
Turnovers 10.4 9.7
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.8
Steals 6.3 6.7
Fouls 15.3 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Mississippi

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UK MISS
Total Possessions 75.4
Effective Scoring Chances 75.7 76.6
% of Possessions with UK MISS
2 Point Attempt 47.1% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 25.4% 26.3%
Player Fouled 19.3% 20.3%
Turnover 13.7% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UK MISS
Shot Blocked 7.7% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 30.6% 27.5%