NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UK TTU
Points 85.4 79.5
Total Points   164.8
Points From 2-Pointers 44.6 32.5
Points From 3-Pointers 27.6 29.8
Points From Free Throws 13.2 17.2
Shooting UK TTU
Field Goals Made 31.5 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 63.2 62.7
Field Goal % 49.8% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 22.3 16.2
2 Pointers Attempted 39.6 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 56.3% 45.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 9.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.6 27.1
3 Point Shooting % 38.9% 36.7%
Free Throws Made 13.2 17.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 21.9
Free Throw % 78.2% 78.5%
Ball Control UK TTU
Rebounds 37.2 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 24.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 10.7
Turnovers 9.7 9.7
Blocked Shots 6.2 2.1
Steals 5.8 5.4
Fouls 15.3 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Texas Tech

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UK TTU
Total Possessions 74.0
Effective Scoring Chances 73.8 75.0
% of Possessions with UK TTU
2 Point Attempt 46.9% 40.9%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 31.1%
Player Fouled 18.5% 20.7%
Turnover 13.1% 13.1%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 7.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UK TTU
Shot Blocked 3.5% 9.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.0% 27.9%