NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARIZ TTU
Points 80.3 72.8
Total Points   153.2
Points From 2-Pointers 46.8 31.3
Points From 3-Pointers 14.5 31.6
Points From Free Throws 19.0 10.0
Shooting ARIZ TTU
Field Goals Made 28.3 26.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.8 62.7
Field Goal % 46.5% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 23.4 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 46.5 33.2
2 Point Shooting % 50.3% 47.1%
3 Pointers Made 4.8 10.5
3 Pointers Attempted 14.2 29.6
3 Point Shooting % 34.0% 35.6%
Free Throws Made 19.0 10.0
Free Throws Attempted 26.0 14.2
Free Throw % 73.0% 70.3%
Ball Control ARIZ TTU
Rebounds 41.5 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.7 23.5
Rebounds - Offensive 12.8 10.1
Turnovers 7.9 9.7
Blocked Shots 2.5 3.9
Steals 5.8 4.6
Fouls 12.8 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: Texas Tech

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARIZ TTU
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 76.3 71.7
% of Possessions with ARIZ TTU
2 Point Attempt 54.3% 40.2%
3 Point Attempt 16.6% 35.9%
Player Fouled 22.9% 18.0%
Turnover 11.0% 13.6%
Opponent Steal 6.4% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARIZ TTU
Shot Blocked 6.3% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 35.3% 25.9%