NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARIZ TTU
Points 78.6 77.9
Total Points   156.5
Points From 2-Pointers 42.5 33.7
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 30.4
Points From Free Throws 17.8 13.8
Shooting ARIZ TTU
Field Goals Made 27.3 27.0
Field Goals Attempted 59.3 63.5
Field Goal % 46.1% 42.5%
2 Pointers Made 21.2 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 41.1 34.7
2 Point Shooting % 51.6% 48.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 10.1
3 Pointers Attempted 18.2 28.8
3 Point Shooting % 33.6% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 17.8 13.8
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 18.4
Free Throw % 77.9% 75.1%
Ball Control ARIZ TTU
Rebounds 38.9 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.0 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 10.9
Turnovers 8.9 7.6
Blocked Shots 2.7 2.7
Steals 5.0 4.5
Fouls 14.3 14.5

Playing Style Advantage: Texas Tech

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARIZ TTU
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 73.3 74.7
% of Possessions with ARIZ TTU
2 Point Attempt 49.4% 41.6%
3 Point Attempt 21.8% 34.6%
Player Fouled 20.3% 20.1%
Turnover 12.5% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 7.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARIZ TTU
Shot Blocked 4.4% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 31.4% 28.1%