NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNH STON
Points 71.0 76.6
Total Points   147.6
Points From 2-Pointers 27.2 42.0
Points From 3-Pointers 30.9 22.0
Points From Free Throws 12.9 12.5
Shooting UNH STON
Field Goals Made 23.9 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 61.2 61.1
Field Goal % 39.1% 46.4%
2 Pointers Made 13.6 21.0
2 Pointers Attempted 30.5 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 44.7% 54.7%
3 Pointers Made 10.3 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 30.7 22.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.5% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 12.9 12.5
Free Throws Attempted 16.9 17.2
Free Throw % 76.0% 72.8%
Ball Control UNH STON
Rebounds 35.0 39.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 31.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 8.5
Turnovers 10.1 9.7
Blocked Shots 1.3 3.7
Steals 6.1 6.5
Fouls 12.9 13.8

Playing Style Advantage: N Hampshire

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNH STON
Total Possessions 73.3
Effective Scoring Chances 71.1 72.0
% of Possessions with UNH STON
2 Point Attempt 36.8% 46.7%
3 Point Attempt 37.2% 27.6%
Player Fouled 18.9% 17.7%
Turnover 13.8% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNH STON
Shot Blocked 6.0% 2.1%
Offensive Rebound 20.3% 23.9%