NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KSU OKLA
Points 69.2 72.1
Total Points   141.3
Points From 2-Pointers 35.0 34.0
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 20.0
Points From Free Throws 15.7 18.2
Shooting KSU OKLA
Field Goals Made 23.7 23.7
Field Goals Attempted 54.3 57.2
Field Goal % 43.6% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.2 35.7
2 Point Shooting % 52.6% 47.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 21.1 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 29.3% 30.9%
Free Throws Made 15.7 18.2
Free Throws Attempted 21.8 24.7
Free Throw % 71.9% 73.5%
Ball Control KSU OKLA
Rebounds 34.8 36.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.9 25.1
Rebounds - Offensive 8.9 11.1
Turnovers 12.2 10.0
Blocked Shots 3.8 3.3
Steals 5.4 6.3
Fouls 17.1 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Oklahoma

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KSU OKLA
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.7 72.2
% of Possessions with KSU OKLA
2 Point Attempt 40.9% 42.7%
3 Point Attempt 26.0% 25.7%
Player Fouled 22.9% 24.1%
Turnover 17.2% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 8.9% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken KSU OKLA
Shot Blocked 5.9% 7.1%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 30.1%