NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARIZ ASU
Points 84.2 66.6
Total Points   150.9
Points From 2-Pointers 42.9 35.5
Points From 3-Pointers 23.6 20.0
Points From Free Throws 17.7 11.1
Shooting ARIZ ASU
Field Goals Made 29.3 24.4
Field Goals Attempted 60.5 61.7
Field Goal % 48.5% 39.6%
2 Pointers Made 21.5 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.9 38.2
2 Point Shooting % 55.2% 46.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 23.5
3 Point Shooting % 36.3% 28.4%
Free Throws Made 17.7 11.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.9 17.0
Free Throw % 71.0% 65.3%
Ball Control ARIZ ASU
Rebounds 45.8 30.0
Rebounds - Defensive 33.9 23.3
Rebounds - Offensive 11.9 6.6
Turnovers 12.0 10.9
Blocked Shots 2.8 3.8
Steals 6.8 7.6
Fouls 14.7 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Arizona St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARIZ ASU
Total Possessions 76.1
Effective Scoring Chances 76.0 71.9
% of Possessions with ARIZ ASU
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 45.6%
3 Point Attempt 24.2% 28.0%
Player Fouled 21.8% 19.4%
Turnover 15.8% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARIZ ASU
Shot Blocked 6.2% 4.6%
Offensive Rebound 33.8% 16.4%