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Northwestern at Maryland
Sun Dec 5, 2021
12:00pm ET
College Park, MD
Northwestern at Maryland: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Maryland by 5.5, Total Points: 135.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NW | adv | MD |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 18-14-2 | 13-20-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-8-0 | 9-13-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 9-7-1 | 6-11-0 | |
| Away | 9-7-1 | 7-9-0 |
Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Binghamton | -17.5 | W by 11 | -6.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Dayton | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | W Michigan | -23.5 | W by 4 | -19.5 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Rhode Island | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Miss State | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | N Illinois | -13.5 | W by 22 | +8.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | Purdue | +5.5 | W by 4 | +9.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Detroit | -23.0 | W by 32 | +9.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Chicago St | -24.5 | L by 2 | -26.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | DePaul | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 19 | +15.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Jackson St | -18.0 | W by 11 | -7.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Illinois | +5.5 | L by 30 | -24.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Michigan St | +3.0 | W by 14 | +17.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Penn St | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Wisconsin | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Maryland | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Nebraska | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Illinois | +4.0 | W by 5 | +9.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 25 | +22.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Purdue | +14.0 | L by 9 | +5.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Minnesota | -1.5 | L by 9 | -10.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Nebraska | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/11 | Home | Penn St | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Rutgers | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | Indiana | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Michigan | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Maryland | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Iowa | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Michigan St | +9.0 | L by 4 | +5.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Minnesota | -4.5 | W by 24 | +19.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Wisconsin | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +4.5 | W by 12 | +16.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Connecticut | +13.5 | L by 17 | -3.5 |
Maryland Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | Mt St Marys | -20.5 | W by 15 | -5.5 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Davidson | -11.5 | L by 3 | -14.5 |
| 11/12 | Neutral | UAB | -6.0 | L by 3 | -9.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | Villanova | +6.5 | L by 17 | -10.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Maryland BC | -19.0 | W by 24 | +5.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | S Alabama | -15.0 | W by 13 | -2.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Rider | -17.0 | W by 27 | +10.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Indiana | +2.5 | L by 12 | -9.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Penn St | -7.5 | W by 6 | -1.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Alcorn St | -23.0 | W by 40 | +17.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Nicholls | -19.5 | W by 6 | -13.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | UCLA | +4.0 | W by 9 | +13.0 |
| 12/28 | Home | Coppin St | -29.5 | W by 22 | -7.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Purdue | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Minnesota | +1.5 | L by 3 | -1.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | Michigan | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 01/14 | Away | Illinois | +9.0 | W by 9 | +18.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Northwestern | +4.5 | L by 3 | +1.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Michigan St | +1.0 | L by 2 | -1.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Iowa | +5.0 | W by 2 | +7.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Nebraska | -5.0 | W by 22 | +17.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Michigan St | +6.0 | L by 9 | -3.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Rutgers | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Ohio St | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Iowa | -5.5 | W by 12 | +6.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Illinois | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | Wisconsin | +7.5 | L by 4 | +3.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | Rutgers | +2.0 | W by 17 | +19.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Northwestern | -5.5 | L by 7 | -12.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Indiana | -9.0 | L by 5 | -14.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Penn St | -1.5 | L by 16 | -17.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Rutgers | -4.5 | W by 14 | +9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Wisconsin | +4.0 | L by 31 | -27.0 |
| MD -5.5 | Open | -3.5 | High | -5.5 |
| Last | -5.0 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2923 games where the closing line favored the home team by 4.5 to 6.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Maryland won the game 2028 times (69.4%).
- The team like Northwestern won the game 895 times (30.6%).
- The team like Maryland did better against the spread, going 1478-1399-46 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 872 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Maryland did better against the spread, going 436-413-23 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.5 | -5.5 | -5.5 |
| Open | -4.0 | -4.0 | -4.0 |
| History | |||
| 12/05 12:01 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 11:44 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/05 11:31 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 11:04 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/05 10:49 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 10:25 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 10:04 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 12/05 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 12/05 09:49 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 09:34 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 12/05 09:31 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 09:16 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 09:15 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 12/05 08:13 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 07:34 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/05 06:24 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/05 05:54 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/05 03:24 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/05 02:40 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 10:34 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 10:15 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 12/04 09:34 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/04 08:31 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
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