NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WEB SUU
Points 77.8 73.6
Total Points   151.4
Points From 2-Pointers 45.8 42.5
Points From 3-Pointers 18.7 17.4
Points From Free Throws 13.3 13.7
Shooting WEB SUU
Field Goals Made 29.1 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.8 54.8
Field Goal % 50.4% 49.3%
2 Pointers Made 22.9 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 39.8 36.2
2 Point Shooting % 57.6% 58.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 5.8
3 Pointers Attempted 18.1 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 31.0%
Free Throws Made 13.3 13.7
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 19.2
Free Throw % 73.6% 71.3%
Ball Control WEB SUU
Rebounds 31.5 30.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.6 23.4
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 7.5
Turnovers 9.4 10.9
Blocked Shots 1.5 2.5
Steals 6.2 4.8
Fouls 16.2 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: S Utah

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WEB SUU
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.8 66.9
% of Possessions with WEB SUU
2 Point Attempt 50.2% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 22.8% 23.9%
Player Fouled 22.0% 23.1%
Turnover 13.4% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 8.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken WEB SUU
Shot Blocked 4.7% 2.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 24.0%