NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARIZ USC
Points 83.1 72.1
Total Points   155.2
Points From 2-Pointers 39.7 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 26.0 22.8
Points From Free Throws 17.4 11.7
Shooting ARIZ USC
Field Goals Made 28.5 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 62.7 61.4
Field Goal % 45.5% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.9 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 40.3 39.0
2 Point Shooting % 49.3% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 22.4
3 Point Shooting % 38.7% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 17.4 11.7
Free Throws Attempted 24.5 16.8
Free Throw % 71.0% 69.5%
Ball Control ARIZ USC
Rebounds 42.5 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 29.4 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 8.2
Turnovers 11.8 12.9
Blocked Shots 3.7 5.1
Steals 8.0 7.3
Fouls 14.8 16.4

Playing Style Advantage: USC

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARIZ USC
Total Possessions 76.2
Effective Scoring Chances 77.6 71.6
% of Possessions with ARIZ USC
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 45.4%
3 Point Attempt 24.5% 26.1%
Player Fouled 21.5% 19.4%
Turnover 15.4% 16.9%
Opponent Steal 9.5% 10.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARIZ USC
Shot Blocked 8.5% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 34.7% 21.9%