NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARIZ UTAH
Points 85.2 75.6
Total Points   160.8
Points From 2-Pointers 46.7 37.5
Points From 3-Pointers 23.4 28.9
Points From Free Throws 15.0 9.3
Shooting ARIZ UTAH
Field Goals Made 31.2 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 67.4 64.6
Field Goal % 46.2% 43.9%
2 Pointers Made 23.4 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 45.3 37.3
2 Point Shooting % 51.5% 50.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 9.6
3 Pointers Attempted 22.1 27.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.3% 35.2%
Free Throws Made 15.0 9.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 14.6
Free Throw % 71.0% 63.4%
Ball Control ARIZ UTAH
Rebounds 42.9 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 31.1 27.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 7.9
Turnovers 8.9 11.8
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.0
Steals 7.4 5.3
Fouls 14.5 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Utah

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARIZ UTAH
Total Possessions 77.1
Effective Scoring Chances 79.9 73.3
% of Possessions with ARIZ UTAH
2 Point Attempt 50.1% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.4% 31.6%
Player Fouled 20.1% 18.8%
Turnover 11.6% 15.3%
Opponent Steal 6.9% 9.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARIZ UTAH
Shot Blocked 6.4% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 20.3%