NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WEB IDHO
Points 73.1 65.9
Total Points   139.0
Points From 2-Pointers 36.0 35.0
Points From 3-Pointers 21.4 21.5
Points From Free Throws 15.7 9.4
Shooting WEB IDHO
Field Goals Made 25.1 24.7
Field Goals Attempted 51.3 51.6
Field Goal % 49.0% 47.8%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 17.5
2 Pointers Attempted 31.1 31.1
2 Point Shooting % 57.8% 56.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 7.2
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 35.0%
Free Throws Made 15.7 9.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 12.6
Free Throw % 73.7% 74.3%
Ball Control WEB IDHO
Rebounds 29.9 28.1
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 22.8
Rebounds - Offensive 6.5 5.3
Turnovers 8.6 11.8
Blocked Shots 1.8 2.6
Steals 6.7 4.0
Fouls 13.0 16.7

Playing Style Advantage: Idaho

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WEB IDHO
Total Possessions 66.0
Effective Scoring Chances 64.0 59.5
% of Possessions with WEB IDHO
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 43.2%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 28.4%
Player Fouled 25.3% 19.8%
Turnover 13.0% 17.9%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WEB IDHO
Shot Blocked 5.0% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 22.3% 18.5%