NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ACU KSU
Points 64.7 77.3
Total Points   142.0
Points From 2-Pointers 33.4 40.7
Points From 3-Pointers 14.5 18.3
Points From Free Throws 16.9 18.3
Shooting ACU KSU
Field Goals Made 21.5 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 52.0
Field Goal % 36.8% 50.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 20.4
2 Pointers Attempted 42.6 34.0
2 Point Shooting % 39.2% 60.0%
3 Pointers Made 4.8 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 15.9 18.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.3% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 16.9 18.3
Free Throws Attempted 23.0 25.4
Free Throw % 73.4% 71.9%
Ball Control ACU KSU
Rebounds 29.3 40.7
Rebounds - Defensive 19.8 30.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 10.0
Turnovers 10.3 14.7
Blocked Shots 2.1 3.6
Steals 8.2 5.0
Fouls 18.5 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Abl Christian

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ACU KSU
Total Possessions 73.1
Effective Scoring Chances 72.3 68.4
% of Possessions with ACU KSU
2 Point Attempt 50.7% 40.5%
3 Point Attempt 18.9% 21.4%
Player Fouled 22.7% 25.3%
Turnover 14.1% 20.1%
Opponent Steal 6.8% 11.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken ACU KSU
Shot Blocked 7.0% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 23.7% 33.6%