NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ARIZ KSU
Points 81.9 66.5
Total Points   148.4
Points From 2-Pointers 46.6 33.1
Points From 3-Pointers 19.5 22.2
Points From Free Throws 15.8 11.2
Shooting ARIZ KSU
Field Goals Made 29.8 23.9
Field Goals Attempted 62.0 61.1
Field Goal % 48.1% 39.2%
2 Pointers Made 23.3 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 41.8 37.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.8% 44.7%
3 Pointers Made 6.5 7.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 24.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.2% 30.7%
Free Throws Made 15.8 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 16.5
Free Throw % 77.9% 68.2%
Ball Control ARIZ KSU
Rebounds 43.4 30.8
Rebounds - Defensive 30.3 21.5
Rebounds - Offensive 13.1 9.3
Turnovers 9.5 10.0
Blocked Shots 4.7 2.6
Steals 6.1 5.2
Fouls 14.6 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Arizona

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ARIZ KSU
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 74.9 70.6
% of Possessions with ARIZ KSU
2 Point Attempt 48.9% 44.8%
3 Point Attempt 23.6% 29.3%
Player Fouled 19.9% 20.5%
Turnover 13.4% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 7.3% 8.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken ARIZ KSU
Shot Blocked 4.4% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 37.9% 23.4%