NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEV NEB
Points 72.0 71.4
Total Points   143.4
Points From 2-Pointers 32.5 28.7
Points From 3-Pointers 24.3 26.7
Points From Free Throws 15.2 16.1
Shooting NEV NEB
Field Goals Made 24.3 23.2
Field Goals Attempted 56.4 55.8
Field Goal % 43.2% 41.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.2 14.3
2 Pointers Attempted 33.5 29.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 49.0%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 22.9 26.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.4% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 15.2 16.1
Free Throws Attempted 21.4 21.1
Free Throw % 71.2% 76.0%
Ball Control NEV NEB
Rebounds 35.9 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 8.7
Turnovers 9.5 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.6 1.7
Steals 5.8 4.7
Fouls 15.7 16.6

Playing Style Advantage: Nevada

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEV NEB
Total Possessions 69.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.8 68.4
% of Possessions with NEV NEB
2 Point Attempt 41.8% 36.6%
3 Point Attempt 28.6% 33.2%
Player Fouled 23.8% 22.4%
Turnover 13.6% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 6.7% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEV NEB
Shot Blocked 3.2% 6.4%
Offensive Rebound 26.6% 24.9%