NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEV WYO
Points 76.8 65.6
Total Points   142.4
Points From 2-Pointers 38.5 27.8
Points From 3-Pointers 22.3 20.9
Points From Free Throws 15.9 16.9
Shooting NEV WYO
Field Goals Made 26.7 20.9
Field Goals Attempted 53.7 52.1
Field Goal % 49.7% 40.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 13.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 31.4
2 Point Shooting % 56.6% 44.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.7 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.8% 33.6%
Free Throws Made 15.9 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 22.5
Free Throw % 71.2% 75.2%
Ball Control NEV WYO
Rebounds 34.1 30.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 22.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 8.3
Turnovers 8.8 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.2 1.5
Steals 6.9 3.9
Fouls 18.2 17.7

Playing Style Advantage: Wyoming

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEV WYO
Total Possessions 68.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 65.4
% of Possessions with NEV WYO
2 Point Attempt 44.1% 40.2%
3 Point Attempt 25.6% 26.6%
Player Fouled 26.0% 26.7%
Turnover 13.0% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 10.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEV WYO
Shot Blocked 3.0% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 24.5%