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Nevada at Oregon
Sat Dec 10, 2022
7:00pm ET
Eugene, OR
Nevada at Oregon: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Oregon by 8.5, Total Points: 137
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NEV | adv | ORE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-12-0 | 17-19-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-8-0 | 9-14-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 10-6-0 | 7-9-0 | |
| Away | 11-6-0 | 10-10-0 |
Nevada Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | Sac State | -13.5 | W by 14 | +0.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Washington | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Pacific | -13.0 | W by 49 | +36.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Portland | -13.5 | W by 25 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Montana | -14.5 | W by 11 | -3.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Loyola Mymt | -8.5 | W by 14 | +5.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | UC Davis | -14.0 | W by 12 | -2.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Drake | -4.5 | L by 19 | -23.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Weber St | -9.0 | W by 17 | +8.0 |
| 12/17 | Away | Hawaii | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 12/21 | Neutral | Temple | -8.5 | W by 24 | +15.5 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | TX Christian | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 12/24 | Neutral | GA Tech | -6.0 | W by 8 | +2.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Fresno Pacific | -- | W by 33 | -- |
| 01/06 | Away | Fresno St | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Air Force | -14.0 | W by 13 | -1.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Boise St | -6.5 | L by 8 | -14.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | San Diego St | +6.5 | L by 12 | -5.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Wyoming | -7.0 | L by 5 | -12.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Colorado St | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 01/28 | Away | New Mexico | +8.5 | L by 34 | -25.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | San Jose St | -11.5 | W by 30 | +18.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Utah St | +5.5 | W by 14 | +19.5 |
| 02/09 | Home | San Diego St | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | New Mexico | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | UNLV | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Wyoming | -14.0 | W by 18 | +4.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | San Jose St | -10.5 | W by 21 | +10.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Colorado St | +6.5 | W by 3 | +9.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Fresno St | -14.0 | W by 8 | -6.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Boise St | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | UNLV | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Colorado St | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Dayton | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
Oregon Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Neutral | Georgia | -6.5 | W by 11 | +4.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Montana | -15.5 | W by 14 | -1.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | TN State | -18.5 | W by 25 | +6.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | Florida A&M | -22.0 | W by 13 | -9.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Santa Clara | -5.0 | L by 6 | -11.0 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Michigan | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | TX El Paso | -13.0 | W by 22 | +9.0 |
| 12/12 | Home | Cal Baptist | -12.0 | W by 21 | +9.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | Syracuse | -4.0 | L by 20 | -24.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Kent St | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 12/28 | Home | USC | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | UCLA | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | Washington | +4.5 | W by 2 | +6.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Wash State | +1.5 | W by 5 | +6.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | California | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Colorado | +6.0 | L by 16 | -10.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Utah | +6.5 | L by 3 | +3.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Arizona St | -9.5 | W by 19 | +9.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Arizona | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | USC | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | UCLA | -2.0 | L by 8 | -10.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Washington | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Wash State | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Oregon St | -7.5 | W by 2 | -5.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Stanford | +1.5 | W by 13 | +14.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | California | -2.5 | L by 5 | -7.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Oregon St | -14.0 | W by 7 | -7.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Arizona | +13.5 | L by 20 | -6.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Colorado | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Utah | -4.5 | W by 1 | -3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | UCLA | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Arizona | +11.5 | W by 8 | +19.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Colorado | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | S Carolina | -2.5 | W by 14 | +11.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Creighton | +4.0 | L by 13 | -9.0 |
| ORE -8.5 | Open | -8.5 | High | -9.5 |
| Last | -8.0 | Low | -8.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2437 games where the closing line favored the home team by 7.5 to 9.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Oregon won the game 1950 times (80.0%).
- The team like Nevada won the game 487 times (20.0%).
- The team like Oregon did better against the spread, going 1212-1186-39 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3274 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Nevada did better against the spread, going 1631-1589-54 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -8.5 | -8.5 | -- |
| Open | -8.5 | -8.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/10 06:59 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 05:56 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 01:26 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 11:02 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 09:32 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 04:06 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 08:14 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 12/09 05:52 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
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