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Nevada at Colorado St
Wed Jan 29, 2020
9:00pm ET
Fort Collins, CO
Nevada at Colorado St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Colorado St. by 4.5, Total Points: 153
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NEV | adv | CSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-12-0 | 17-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-8-0 | 8-13-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 10-6-0 | 8-7-0 | |
| Away | 11-6-0 | 9-10-0 |
Nevada Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | Sac State | -13.5 | W by 14 | +0.5 |
| 11/12 | Away | Washington | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Pacific | -13.0 | W by 49 | +36.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Portland | -13.5 | W by 25 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Montana | -14.5 | W by 11 | -3.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Loyola Mymt | -8.5 | W by 14 | +5.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | UC Davis | -14.0 | W by 12 | -2.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Drake | -4.5 | L by 19 | -23.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Weber St | -9.0 | W by 17 | +8.0 |
| 12/17 | Away | Hawaii | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 12/21 | Neutral | Temple | -8.5 | W by 24 | +15.5 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | TX Christian | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 12/24 | Neutral | GA Tech | -6.0 | W by 8 | +2.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Fresno Pacific | -- | W by 33 | -- |
| 01/06 | Away | Fresno St | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Air Force | -14.0 | W by 13 | -1.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Boise St | -6.5 | L by 8 | -14.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | San Diego St | +6.5 | L by 12 | -5.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Wyoming | -7.0 | L by 5 | -12.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Colorado St | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 01/28 | Away | New Mexico | +8.5 | L by 34 | -25.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | San Jose St | -11.5 | W by 30 | +18.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Utah St | +5.5 | W by 14 | +19.5 |
| 02/09 | Home | San Diego St | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | New Mexico | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | UNLV | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Wyoming | -14.0 | W by 18 | +4.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | San Jose St | -10.5 | W by 21 | +10.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Colorado St | +6.5 | W by 3 | +9.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Fresno St | -14.0 | W by 8 | -6.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Boise St | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | UNLV | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Colorado St | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Dayton | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
Colorado St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | LA Tech | -9.5 | W by 8 | -1.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Wright St | -10.0 | W by 28 | +18.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | N Colorado | -11.5 | W by 19 | +7.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Kansas City | -17.0 | W by 23 | +6.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Boston Col | -5.5 | W by 12 | +6.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Creighton | +9.0 | W by 21 | +30.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Colorado | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Washington | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Denver | -20.5 | W by 10 | -10.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | St Marys | -4.0 | L by 3 | -7.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | CSU Pueblo | -- | W by 32 | -- |
| 12/22 | Away | Loyola Mymt | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Adams St. | -- | W by 45 | -- |
| 01/02 | Home | New Mexico | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Utah St | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Boise St | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Air Force | -15.5 | W by 9 | -6.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | UNLV | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Nevada | +4.5 | L by 13 | -8.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Wyoming | -8.0 | L by 3 | -11.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | San Diego St | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Fresno St | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Boise St | -5.5 | W by 13 | +7.5 |
| 02/09 | Home | San Jose St | -15.0 | W by 19 | +4.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | San Diego St | +6.0 | L by 16 | -10.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Utah St | -6.0 | W by 20 | +14.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | New Mexico | +8.0 | L by 2 | +6.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | UNLV | +1.0 | L by 6 | -5.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Nevada | -6.5 | L by 3 | -9.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Wyoming | -15.5 | W by 8 | -7.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Air Force | -11.0 | W by 9 | -2.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | San Jose St | -14.5 | W by 10 | -4.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Nevada | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | New Mexico | +2.5 | L by 13 | -10.5 |
| 03/19 | Neutral | Virginia | -2.5 | W by 25 | +22.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Texas | +3.0 | L by 12 | -9.0 |
| CSU -4.5 | Open | -4.5 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2978 games where the closing line favored the home team by 4 to 6 points. In these games:
- The team like Colorado St. won the game 2035 times (68.3%).
- The team like Nevada won the game 943 times (31.7%).
- The team like Colorado St. did better against the spread, going 1497-1406-75 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4472 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Colorado St. did better against the spread, going 2213-2172-87 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.0 | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| Open | -3.5 | -4.0 | -4.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/29 08:55 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/29 08:49 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 07:04 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/29 06:44 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 01/29 06:40 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 06:35 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/29 05:07 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 04:19 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 12:01 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/29 08:19 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 11:19 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 10:55 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/28 07:39 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 06:34 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
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