NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEV PEPP
Points 75.4 63.5
Total Points   138.8
Points From 2-Pointers 38.1 31.2
Points From 3-Pointers 18.6 18.3
Points From Free Throws 18.6 13.9
Shooting NEV PEPP
Field Goals Made 25.3 21.7
Field Goals Attempted 50.3 54.1
Field Goal % 50.3% 40.2%
2 Pointers Made 19.1 15.6
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 35.5
2 Point Shooting % 54.3% 44.0%
3 Pointers Made 6.2 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 15.1 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 41.0% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 18.6 13.9
Free Throws Attempted 26.1 19.9
Free Throw % 71.2% 69.8%
Ball Control NEV PEPP
Rebounds 34.0 31.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.7 22.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 9.1
Turnovers 9.4 10.8
Blocked Shots 2.6 1.9
Steals 5.7 3.8
Fouls 16.9 19.4

Playing Style Advantage: Pepperdine

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEV PEPP
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 66.2 66.5
% of Possessions with NEV PEPP
2 Point Attempt 46.0% 45.3%
3 Point Attempt 19.8% 23.8%
Player Fouled 28.4% 24.8%
Turnover 13.7% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 5.6% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEV PEPP
Shot Blocked 3.5% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 24.9% 25.4%