NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVU GRC
Points 60.2 73.5
Total Points   133.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.2 33.5
Points From 3-Pointers 13.3 19.1
Points From Free Throws 13.8 20.8
Shooting UVU GRC
Field Goals Made 21.0 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.0 54.7
Field Goal % 36.2% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 16.8
2 Pointers Attempted 41.8 35.3
2 Point Shooting % 39.7% 47.5%
3 Pointers Made 4.4 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 16.2 19.4
3 Point Shooting % 27.4% 32.9%
Free Throws Made 13.8 20.8
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 27.4
Free Throw % 65.3% 76.0%
Ball Control UVU GRC
Rebounds 35.4 40.2
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 29.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 10.4
Turnovers 12.3 11.2
Blocked Shots 3.9 5.8
Steals 5.7 8.0
Fouls 18.4 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Grd Canyon

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVU GRC
Total Possessions 72.1
Effective Scoring Chances 70.5 71.3
% of Possessions with UVU GRC
2 Point Attempt 49.1% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 19.0% 23.1%
Player Fouled 22.2% 25.5%
Turnover 17.1% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 11.1% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken UVU GRC
Shot Blocked 10.9% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 26.4% 29.7%