NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVU UAB
Points 66.9 74.9
Total Points   141.7
Points From 2-Pointers 38.9 39.7
Points From 3-Pointers 15.4 16.0
Points From Free Throws 12.6 19.2
Shooting UVU UAB
Field Goals Made 24.6 25.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.4 56.8
Field Goal % 40.7% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 42.4 40.9
2 Point Shooting % 45.8% 48.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.1 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 18.0 15.9
3 Point Shooting % 28.6% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 12.6 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.3 25.8
Free Throw % 65.3% 74.3%
Ball Control UVU UAB
Rebounds 35.2 38.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.6 28.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 10.4
Turnovers 10.8 10.4
Blocked Shots 5.1 5.2
Steals 6.3 6.7
Fouls 17.5 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: UAB

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVU UAB
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 71.7 71.9
% of Possessions with UVU UAB
2 Point Attempt 50.1% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 21.2% 18.9%
Player Fouled 20.1% 24.3%
Turnover 15.1% 14.5%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 8.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UVU UAB
Shot Blocked 9.3% 8.7%
Offensive Rebound 27.2% 29.8%