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Michigan at Purdue
Fri Jan 22, 2021
7:00pm ET
West Lafayette, IN
Michigan at Purdue: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan by 5, Total Points: 140.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MICH | adv | PUR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-24-0 | 21-16-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-17-0 | 9-13-0 | |
| Streak | L4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 5-10-0 | 7-8-1 | |
| Away | 3-14-0 | 14-8-1 |
Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | NC-Asheville | -10.5 | W by 25 | +14.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Youngs St | -16.5 | W by 30 | +13.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | St Johns | +3.0 | W by 16 | +19.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Lg Beach St | -15.0 | L by 8 | -23.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Stanford | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Texas Tech | -2.5 | L by 16 | -18.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Oregon | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | L by 3 | -9.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Iowa | +4.0 | W by 10 | +14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | E Michigan | -23.5 | W by 17 | -6.5 |
| 12/19 | Neutral | Florida | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | McNeese St | -10.5 | L by 11 | -21.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Minnesota | -5.5 | L by 2 | -7.5 |
| 01/07 | Neutral | Penn St | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Maryland | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Ohio St | -1.5 | W by 8 | +6.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Illinois | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Purdue | +18.0 | L by 32 | -14.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Iowa | -1.5 | L by 10 | -11.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Michigan St | +12.0 | L by 19 | -7.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Rutgers | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Wisconsin | +8.0 | W by 4 | +12.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Nebraska | +10.0 | L by 20 | -10.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Illinois | +15.5 | L by 29 | -13.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Michigan St | +6.0 | L by 10 | -4.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Northwestern | +11.5 | L by 14 | -2.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Purdue | +13.5 | L by 8 | +5.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Rutgers | +8.0 | L by 30 | -22.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Ohio St | +12.0 | L by 23 | -11.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Nebraska | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Penn St | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
Purdue Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Samford | -19.5 | W by 53 | +33.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Morehead St | -29.5 | W by 30 | +0.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Xavier | -17.0 | W by 12 | -5.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Gonzaga | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Tennessee | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Marquette | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | TX Southern | -32.0 | W by 32 | 0.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Northwestern | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Iowa | -13.5 | W by 19 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Alabama | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Arizona | +2.0 | W by 8 | +10.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Jacksonville | -32.5 | W by 43 | +10.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | E Kentucky | -29.0 | W by 27 | -2.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Maryland | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 01/05 | Home | Illinois | -10.5 | W by 5 | -5.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Nebraska | -7.5 | L by 16 | -23.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Penn St | -18.0 | W by 17 | -1.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Indiana | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Iowa | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Michigan | -18.0 | W by 32 | +14.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Rutgers | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Northwestern | -14.0 | W by 9 | -5.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | Wisconsin | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Indiana | -17.0 | W by 20 | +3.0 |
| 02/15 | Home | Minnesota | -16.5 | W by 8 | -8.5 |
| 02/18 | Away | Ohio St | -8.0 | L by 4 | -12.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Rutgers | -14.5 | W by 28 | +13.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | Michigan | -13.5 | W by 8 | -5.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Michigan St | -10.0 | W by 6 | -4.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Illinois | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Wisconsin | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Michigan St | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -6.0 | L by 1 | -7.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Grambling St | -27.0 | W by 28 | +1.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Utah St | -11.5 | W by 39 | +27.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Gonzaga | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | Tennessee | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | NC State | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 04/08 | Neutral | Connecticut | +7.0 | L by 15 | -8.0 |
| MICH -5.0 | Open | -2.5 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1518 games where the closing line favored the away team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan won the game 981 times (64.6%).
- The team like Purdue won the game 537 times (35.4%).
- The team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 751-747-20 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 64 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 35-29 (54.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.7 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.0 | -5.0 | -5.0 |
| Open | -2.0 | -2.0 | -3.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/22 06:59 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 06:55 PM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 01/22 06:05 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 05:54 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/22 05:20 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 05:15 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/22 04:17 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 03:47 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 02:47 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 02:25 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/22 02:20 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 01:02 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 11:56 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 11:26 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 11:24 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 01/22 11:05 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/22 10:35 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 10:05 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 09:29 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 09:25 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/22 08:54 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/22 08:45 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/22 08:44 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 08:05 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/22 07:47 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 07:34 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/22 06:44 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 06:24 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/22 01:53 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 11:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/21 10:41 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 10:15 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 01/21 07:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/21 07:08 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 06:05 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 05:14 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 01/21 05:08 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 04:54 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 01/21 04:44 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
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