NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVU BSU
Points 61.5 74.4
Total Points   135.8
Points From 2-Pointers 36.8 36.1
Points From 3-Pointers 12.2 21.8
Points From Free Throws 12.4 16.5
Shooting UVU BSU
Field Goals Made 22.5 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.4 56.7
Field Goal % 41.4% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.4 18.0
2 Pointers Attempted 37.7 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 50.2%
3 Pointers Made 4.1 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 16.7 20.7
3 Point Shooting % 24.5% 35.1%
Free Throws Made 12.4 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.0 22.2
Free Throw % 65.3% 74.3%
Ball Control UVU BSU
Rebounds 31.4 38.4
Rebounds - Defensive 24.0 28.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.5 10.3
Turnovers 11.1 9.9
Blocked Shots 4.3 3.1
Steals 5.2 6.1
Fouls 16.3 15.5

Playing Style Advantage: Utah Valley

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVU BSU
Total Possessions 69.5
Effective Scoring Chances 65.8 69.9
% of Possessions with UVU BSU
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 21.3% 25.4%
Player Fouled 22.3% 23.5%
Turnover 16.0% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 8.8% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UVU BSU
Shot Blocked 5.6% 8.1%
Offensive Rebound 21.0% 30.0%