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Michigan at Nebraska
Tue Jan 28, 2020
7:00pm ET
Lincoln, NE
Michigan at Nebraska: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan by 4, Total Points: 146
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MICH | adv | NEB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-24-0 | 21-13-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-17-0 | 14-8-0 | |
| Streak | L4 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 5-10-0 | 15-4-0 | |
| Away | 3-14-0 | 6-9-0 |
Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | NC-Asheville | -10.5 | W by 25 | +14.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Youngs St | -16.5 | W by 30 | +13.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | St Johns | +3.0 | W by 16 | +19.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Lg Beach St | -15.0 | L by 8 | -23.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Stanford | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Texas Tech | -2.5 | L by 16 | -18.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Oregon | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | L by 3 | -9.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Iowa | +4.0 | W by 10 | +14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | E Michigan | -23.5 | W by 17 | -6.5 |
| 12/19 | Neutral | Florida | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | McNeese St | -10.5 | L by 11 | -21.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Minnesota | -5.5 | L by 2 | -7.5 |
| 01/07 | Neutral | Penn St | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Maryland | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Ohio St | -1.5 | W by 8 | +6.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Illinois | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Purdue | +18.0 | L by 32 | -14.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Iowa | -1.5 | L by 10 | -11.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Michigan St | +12.0 | L by 19 | -7.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Rutgers | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Wisconsin | +8.0 | W by 4 | +12.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Nebraska | +10.0 | L by 20 | -10.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Illinois | +15.5 | L by 29 | -13.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Michigan St | +6.0 | L by 10 | -4.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Northwestern | +11.5 | L by 14 | -2.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Purdue | +13.5 | L by 8 | +5.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Rutgers | +8.0 | L by 30 | -22.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Ohio St | +12.0 | L by 23 | -11.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Nebraska | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Penn St | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
Nebraska Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Lindenwood | -22.0 | W by 32 | +10.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Florida A&M | -26.5 | W by 27 | +0.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Rider | -14.5 | W by 14 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Stony Brook | -16.0 | W by 21 | +5.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Oregon St | -8.0 | W by 21 | +13.0 |
| 11/22 | Home | Duquesne | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 11/26 | Home | CS Fullerton | -17.0 | W by 13 | -4.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Creighton | +4.0 | L by 29 | -25.0 |
| 12/06 | Away | Minnesota | -2.0 | L by 11 | -13.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Michigan St | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 12/17 | Away | Kansas St | +4.0 | W by 16 | +20.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | North Dakota | -17.0 | W by 8 | -9.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | S Car State | -26.0 | W by 29 | +3.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Indiana | -4.5 | W by 16 | +11.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Wisconsin | +5.5 | L by 16 | -10.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Purdue | +7.5 | W by 16 | +23.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Iowa | +4.5 | L by 18 | -13.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Rutgers | +3.0 | L by 5 | -2.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Northwestern | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Ohio St | -4.0 | W by 14 | +10.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Maryland | +5.0 | L by 22 | -17.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | Wisconsin | (Pick) | W by 8 | +8.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | Illinois | +10.0 | L by 3 | +7.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Northwestern | +6.5 | L by 12 | -5.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Michigan | -10.0 | W by 20 | +10.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Penn St | -8.0 | W by 19 | +11.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Indiana | +1.5 | W by 15 | +16.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 18 | +11.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | Ohio St | +2.5 | L by 9 | -6.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Rutgers | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Michigan | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Indiana | -5.5 | W by 27 | +21.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Illinois | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Texas A&M | +1.0 | L by 15 | -14.0 |
| MICH -4.0 | Open | -5.0 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1606 games where the closing line favored the away team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan won the game 1003 times (62.5%).
- The team like Nebraska won the game 603 times (37.5%).
- The team like Nebraska did better against the spread, going 789-775-42 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3163 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 1595-1509-59 (51.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -4.0 | -4.0 |
| Open | -4.5 | -4.0 | -4.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/28 07:00 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 05:57 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 05:55 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/28 04:54 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 04:24 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 01/28 04:19 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 04:15 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/28 03:14 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 01:24 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 12:17 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 10:54 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 10:06 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 10:05 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/28 09:24 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/28 09:23 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 09:15 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/28 08:15 AM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 01/28 08:14 AM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 01/28 08:05 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 07:14 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 06:59 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 05:12 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 12:14 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/28 12:05 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 01/27 11:56 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 10:36 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 07:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 01/27 07:38 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 07:14 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 01/27 06:50 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 06:14 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
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