NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MICH NEB
Points 72.6 81.7
Total Points   154.3
Points From 2-Pointers 32.6 39.8
Points From 3-Pointers 27.6 27.8
Points From Free Throws 12.4 14.1
Shooting MICH NEB
Field Goals Made 25.5 29.2
Field Goals Attempted 60.9 61.3
Field Goal % 41.8% 47.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 19.9
2 Pointers Attempted 34.3 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 47.4% 54.8%
3 Pointers Made 9.2 9.3
3 Pointers Attempted 26.6 25.0
3 Point Shooting % 34.5% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 12.4 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 18.5
Free Throw % 70.8% 76.0%
Ball Control MICH NEB
Rebounds 36.9 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 26.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 8.8
Turnovers 11.2 8.7
Blocked Shots 3.6 2.6
Steals 4.0 6.7
Fouls 14.2 13.7

Playing Style Advantage: Michigan

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MICH NEB
Total Possessions 72.0
Effective Scoring Chances 72.3 72.1
% of Possessions with MICH NEB
2 Point Attempt 40.6% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 31.5% 30.4%
Player Fouled 19.0% 19.7%
Turnover 15.5% 12.1%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 5.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken MICH NEB
Shot Blocked 4.3% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 25.6%