NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVU BYU
Points 62.6 80.8
Total Points   143.4
Points From 2-Pointers 36.5 37.6
Points From 3-Pointers 13.3 29.9
Points From Free Throws 12.8 13.3
Shooting UVU BYU
Field Goals Made 22.7 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.9 61.6
Field Goal % 39.2% 46.7%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 18.8
2 Pointers Attempted 41.6 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 43.9% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 4.4 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 16.3 28.1
3 Point Shooting % 27.2% 35.5%
Free Throws Made 12.8 13.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 18.4
Free Throw % 65.3% 72.5%
Ball Control UVU BYU
Rebounds 33.2 41.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 31.0
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 10.2
Turnovers 10.4 9.3
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.9
Steals 5.2 5.9
Fouls 14.8 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: BYU

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVU BYU
Total Possessions 71.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.3 72.8
% of Possessions with UVU BYU
2 Point Attempt 51.2% 40.3%
3 Point Attempt 20.1% 33.7%
Player Fouled 22.3% 20.6%
Turnover 14.4% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 8.1% 7.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UVU BYU
Shot Blocked 6.4% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 20.1% 28.6%