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Michigan at Illinois
Wed Dec 11, 2019
9:00pm ET
Champaign, IL
Michigan at Illinois: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Illinois by 1.5, Total Points: 145
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MICH | adv | ILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-24-0 | 21-14-3 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-17-0 | 13-9-1 | |
| Streak | L4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 5-10-0 | 7-9-2 | |
| Away | 3-14-0 | 14-5-1 |
Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | NC-Asheville | -10.5 | W by 25 | +14.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Youngs St | -16.5 | W by 30 | +13.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | St Johns | +3.0 | W by 16 | +19.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Lg Beach St | -15.0 | L by 8 | -23.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Stanford | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Texas Tech | -2.5 | L by 16 | -18.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Oregon | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | L by 3 | -9.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Iowa | +4.0 | W by 10 | +14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | E Michigan | -23.5 | W by 17 | -6.5 |
| 12/19 | Neutral | Florida | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | McNeese St | -10.5 | L by 11 | -21.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Minnesota | -5.5 | L by 2 | -7.5 |
| 01/07 | Neutral | Penn St | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Maryland | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Ohio St | -1.5 | W by 8 | +6.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Illinois | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Purdue | +18.0 | L by 32 | -14.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Iowa | -1.5 | L by 10 | -11.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Michigan St | +12.0 | L by 19 | -7.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Rutgers | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Wisconsin | +8.0 | W by 4 | +12.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Nebraska | +10.0 | L by 20 | -10.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Illinois | +15.5 | L by 29 | -13.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Michigan St | +6.0 | L by 10 | -4.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Northwestern | +11.5 | L by 14 | -2.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Purdue | +13.5 | L by 8 | +5.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Rutgers | +8.0 | L by 30 | -22.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Ohio St | +12.0 | L by 23 | -11.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Nebraska | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Penn St | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
Illinois Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | E Illinois | -29.5 | W by 28 | -1.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Oakland | -24.5 | W by 11 | -13.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Marquette | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Valparaiso | -29.5 | W by 23 | -6.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Southern | -25.0 | W by 28 | +3.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | W Illinois | -27.0 | W by 32 | +5.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Rutgers | +1.5 | W by 18 | +19.5 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +2.5 | W by 9 | +11.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Tennessee | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Colgate | -17.0 | W by 17 | 0.0 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | Missouri | -6.5 | W by 24 | +17.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | F Dickinson | -25.5 | W by 33 | +7.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Northwestern | -5.5 | W by 30 | +24.5 |
| 01/05 | Away | Purdue | +10.5 | L by 5 | +5.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | Michigan St | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Maryland | -9.0 | L by 9 | -18.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Michigan | -2.5 | W by 15 | +12.5 |
| 01/21 | Home | Rutgers | -11.0 | W by 23 | +12.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Northwestern | -4.0 | L by 5 | -9.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Indiana | -15.0 | W by 8 | -7.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 02/04 | Home | Nebraska | -10.0 | W by 3 | -7.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Michigan St | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Michigan | -15.5 | W by 29 | +13.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Maryland | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Penn St | -7.5 | L by 1 | -8.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Iowa | -9.5 | W by 10 | +0.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Minnesota | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Wisconsin | +3.0 | W by 8 | +11.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Purdue | -2.5 | L by 6 | -8.5 |
| 03/10 | Away | Iowa | -2.0 | W by 12 | +10.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Ohio St | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Nebraska | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/17 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Morehead St | -11.0 | W by 16 | +5.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Duquesne | -10.0 | W by 26 | +16.0 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Iowa St | +1.5 | W by 3 | +4.5 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Connecticut | +8.0 | L by 25 | -17.0 |
| ILL -1.5 | Open | +2.0 | High | -1.5 |
| Last | -1.0 | Low | +2.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1900 games where the closing line favored the home team by 0.5 to 2.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Illinois won the game 1072 times (56.4%).
- The team like Michigan won the game 828 times (43.6%).
- The team like Illinois did better against the spread, going 946-919-35 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 100 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 50-49-1 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.5 | -1.5 | -1.5 |
| Open | +1.0 | +1.0 | +1.0 |
| History | |||
| 12/11 09:04 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 12/11 08:55 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 08:35 PM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 12/11 08:34 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 12/11 06:45 PM | -- | -- | -1.0 |
| 12/11 06:39 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 06:05 PM | (Pick) | -- | -- |
| 12/11 05:44 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 05:35 PM | -- | -- | -1.0 |
| 12/11 05:26 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 05:05 PM | -- | -- | -1.0 |
| 12/11 05:04 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 12/11 04:56 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 04:25 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 12/11 04:18 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 03:44 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 12/11 03:36 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 03:04 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 12/11 02:45 PM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 12/11 02:41 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 01:05 PM | -- | -- | -1.0 |
| 12/11 01:02 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 12:15 PM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 12/11 12:10 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 11:18 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 10:34 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 10:34 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 12/11 10:25 AM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 12/11 09:45 AM | -- | -- | +1.0 |
| 12/11 09:25 AM | -- | -- | (Pick) |
| 12/11 09:24 AM | -- | (Pick) | -- |
| 12/11 09:08 AM | (Pick) | -- | -- |
| 12/11 09:04 AM | -- | +2.0 | -- |
| 12/11 08:55 AM | -- | -- | +1.0 |
| 12/11 08:25 AM | -- | -- | +2.0 |
| 12/11 07:58 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 02:33 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 01:14 AM | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| 12/11 01:05 AM | -- | -- | +1.5 |
| 12/10 10:05 PM | -- | -- | +1.0 |
| 12/10 09:53 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 06:44 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 12/10 06:04 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 12/10 05:08 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 05:04 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
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