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Michigan at Minnesota
Sat Jan 16, 2021
2:00pm ET
Minneapolis, MN
Michigan at Minnesota: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Michigan by 5.5, Total Points: 148.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MICH | adv | MINN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-24-0 | 25-9-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-17-0 | 14-7-0 | |
| Streak | L4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 5-10-0 | 17-3-0 | |
| Away | 3-14-0 | 8-6-0 |
Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | NC-Asheville | -10.5 | W by 25 | +14.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Youngs St | -16.5 | W by 30 | +13.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | St Johns | +3.0 | W by 16 | +19.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Lg Beach St | -15.0 | L by 8 | -23.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Stanford | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Texas Tech | -2.5 | L by 16 | -18.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Oregon | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | L by 3 | -9.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Iowa | +4.0 | W by 10 | +14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | E Michigan | -23.5 | W by 17 | -6.5 |
| 12/19 | Neutral | Florida | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | McNeese St | -10.5 | L by 11 | -21.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Minnesota | -5.5 | L by 2 | -7.5 |
| 01/07 | Neutral | Penn St | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Maryland | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Ohio St | -1.5 | W by 8 | +6.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Illinois | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Purdue | +18.0 | L by 32 | -14.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Iowa | -1.5 | L by 10 | -11.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Michigan St | +12.0 | L by 19 | -7.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Rutgers | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Wisconsin | +8.0 | W by 4 | +12.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Nebraska | +10.0 | L by 20 | -10.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Illinois | +15.5 | L by 29 | -13.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Michigan St | +6.0 | L by 10 | -4.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Northwestern | +11.5 | L by 14 | -2.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Purdue | +13.5 | L by 8 | +5.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Rutgers | +8.0 | L by 30 | -22.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Ohio St | +12.0 | L by 23 | -11.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Nebraska | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Penn St | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Beth-Cook | -17.0 | W by 20 | +3.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | UTSA | -12.0 | W by 26 | +14.0 |
| 11/16 | Home | Missouri | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | SC Upstate | -12.5 | W by 14 | +1.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -18.5 | W by 19 | +0.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | San Francisco | +5.0 | L by 18 | -13.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | New Orleans | -12.0 | W by 33 | +21.0 |
| 12/03 | Away | Ohio St | +12.5 | L by 10 | +2.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Nebraska | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -8.5 | W by 20 | +11.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | IUPUI | -22.5 | W by 36 | +13.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Ball St | -12.5 | W by 17 | +4.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Maine | -14.0 | W by 18 | +4.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | Michigan | +5.5 | W by 2 | +7.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Maryland | -1.5 | W by 3 | +1.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Indiana | +4.5 | L by 12 | -7.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Iowa | -3.0 | L by 9 | -12.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Michigan St | +12.0 | L by 10 | +2.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Wisconsin | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Penn St | +2.5 | W by 9 | +11.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Northwestern | +1.5 | W by 9 | +10.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Michigan St | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Iowa | +7.5 | L by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Purdue | +16.5 | L by 8 | +8.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Rutgers | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 9 | +6.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Nebraska | +7.0 | L by 18 | -11.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Illinois | +12.0 | L by 8 | +4.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Penn St | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Indiana | -5.5 | L by 12 | -17.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Northwestern | +4.5 | L by 24 | -19.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Michigan St | +7.0 | L by 10 | -3.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | Butler | +4.5 | W by 1 | +5.5 |
| 03/24 | Away | Indiana St | +7.0 | L by 12 | -5.0 |
| MICH -5.5 | Open | -4.5 | High | -6.0 |
| Last | -6.0 | Low | -4.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1295 games where the closing line favored the away team by 4.5 to 6.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Michigan won the game 885 times (68.3%).
- The team like Minnesota won the game 410 times (31.7%).
- The team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 640-638-17 (50.1% ATS).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 136 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Minnesota did better against the spread, going 70-66 (51.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.5 | -6.0 | -5.5 |
| Open | -5.5 | -5.5 | -5.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/16 02:28 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 01/16 01:59 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 01:26 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 12:17 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 11:50 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 10:53 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 09:58 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 01/16 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 01/16 09:41 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 09:05 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 07:47 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 06:35 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 01/16 06:29 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 01:26 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 01/16 01:07 AM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/16 01:05 AM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 01/15 09:44 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 08:46 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 01/15 08:23 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 07:35 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/15 06:32 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
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