NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MICH MINN
Points 72.5 78.3
Total Points   150.8
Points From 2-Pointers 37.4 42.1
Points From 3-Pointers 22.0 23.3
Points From Free Throws 13.0 12.9
Shooting MICH MINN
Field Goals Made 26.1 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 58.1 58.9
Field Goal % 44.9% 48.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.7 21.0
2 Pointers Attempted 39.3 38.0
2 Point Shooting % 47.6% 55.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 18.8 20.9
3 Point Shooting % 39.1% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 13.0 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 18.4 19.1
Free Throw % 70.8% 67.9%
Ball Control MICH MINN
Rebounds 34.2 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 24.4 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.8 9.1
Turnovers 11.1 9.1
Blocked Shots 3.4 4.5
Steals 4.5 7.0
Fouls 14.4 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MICH MINN
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.1 70.3
% of Possessions with MICH MINN
2 Point Attempt 48.0% 47.1%
3 Point Attempt 22.9% 25.9%
Player Fouled 20.4% 20.5%
Turnover 15.7% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MICH MINN
Shot Blocked 7.8% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.3% 27.1%