NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MICH IND
Points 70.3 76.9
Total Points   147.2
Points From 2-Pointers 31.3 48.4
Points From 3-Pointers 25.3 15.5
Points From Free Throws 13.7 13.0
Shooting MICH IND
Field Goals Made 24.1 29.3
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 58.6
Field Goal % 40.2% 50.1%
2 Pointers Made 15.6 24.2
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 43.3
2 Point Shooting % 44.3% 55.8%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 15.2
3 Point Shooting % 34.3% 33.9%
Free Throws Made 13.7 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 19.8
Free Throw % 70.8% 65.9%
Ball Control MICH IND
Rebounds 35.1 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.3 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 8.7
Turnovers 10.3 9.4
Blocked Shots 3.0 4.1
Steals 4.8 5.5
Fouls 16.0 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Michigan

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MICH IND
Total Possessions 71.1
Effective Scoring Chances 71.6 70.4
% of Possessions with MICH IND
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 53.5%
3 Point Attempt 29.4% 18.8%
Player Fouled 20.8% 22.5%
Turnover 14.4% 13.2%
Opponent Steal 7.8% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MICH IND
Shot Blocked 7.1% 5.1%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 26.4%