NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVU CALBA
Points 66.3 63.8
Total Points   130.0
Points From 2-Pointers 43.3 30.7
Points From 3-Pointers 11.5 18.4
Points From Free Throws 11.4 14.7
Shooting UVU CALBA
Field Goals Made 25.5 21.5
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 56.3
Field Goal % 44.7% 38.1%
2 Pointers Made 21.7 15.3
2 Pointers Attempted 44.3 37.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.9% 41.2%
3 Pointers Made 3.8 6.1
3 Pointers Attempted 12.8 19.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 32.2%
Free Throws Made 11.4 14.7
Free Throws Attempted 17.5 21.1
Free Throw % 65.3% 69.6%
Ball Control UVU CALBA
Rebounds 35.4 37.5
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 27.1
Rebounds - Offensive 7.8 10.4
Turnovers 9.0 10.4
Blocked Shots 5.0 2.8
Steals 5.2 3.9
Fouls 16.0 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Utah Valley

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVU CALBA
Total Possessions 68.7
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 68.7
% of Possessions with UVU CALBA
2 Point Attempt 57.0% 45.9%
3 Point Attempt 16.5% 23.5%
Player Fouled 21.7% 23.3%
Turnover 13.0% 15.1%
Opponent Steal 5.7% 7.6%
Odds Per Shot Taken UVU CALBA
Shot Blocked 5.1% 8.8%
Offensive Rebound 22.4% 27.4%