NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVU SEA
Points 65.0 69.5
Total Points   134.5
Points From 2-Pointers 39.3 33.7
Points From 3-Pointers 12.5 20.8
Points From Free Throws 13.3 14.9
Shooting UVU SEA
Field Goals Made 23.8 23.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 57.2
Field Goal % 41.6% 41.6%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 41.0 36.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.9% 46.1%
3 Pointers Made 4.2 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 16.2 20.6
3 Point Shooting % 25.6% 33.7%
Free Throws Made 13.3 14.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.3 20.0
Free Throw % 65.3% 74.7%
Ball Control UVU SEA
Rebounds 36.0 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 28.2
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 9.1
Turnovers 10.8 11.3
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.1
Steals 5.9 5.7
Fouls 16.3 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Utah Valley

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVU SEA
Total Possessions 71.3
Effective Scoring Chances 69.7 69.1
% of Possessions with UVU SEA
2 Point Attempt 50.2% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 19.9% 25.1%
Player Fouled 22.9% 22.9%
Turnover 15.2% 15.8%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken UVU SEA
Shot Blocked 5.5% 7.4%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 25.4%