NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVU CSB
Points 65.2 63.5
Total Points   128.8
Points From 2-Pointers 33.4 36.9
Points From 3-Pointers 13.8 12.4
Points From Free Throws 18.0 14.2
Shooting UVU CSB
Field Goals Made 21.3 22.6
Field Goals Attempted 51.1 56.0
Field Goal % 41.7% 40.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 18.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.4 42.7
2 Point Shooting % 47.2% 43.2%
3 Pointers Made 4.6 4.1
3 Pointers Attempted 15.7 13.2
3 Point Shooting % 29.2% 31.3%
Free Throws Made 18.0 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 27.6 19.4
Free Throw % 65.3% 73.0%
Ball Control UVU CSB
Rebounds 35.0 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 25.4 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 10.5
Turnovers 11.4 12.0
Blocked Shots 4.3 4.4
Steals 6.2 6.5
Fouls 15.7 19.1

Playing Style Advantage: Utah Valley

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVU CSB
Total Possessions 69.4
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 67.9
% of Possessions with UVU CSB
2 Point Attempt 43.8% 52.3%
3 Point Attempt 19.5% 16.2%
Player Fouled 27.5% 22.6%
Turnover 16.4% 17.3%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UVU CSB
Shot Blocked 8.0% 8.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 29.2%