NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVU SUU
Points 73.5 69.3
Total Points   142.8
Points From 2-Pointers 48.3 36.8
Points From 3-Pointers 12.4 17.0
Points From Free Throws 12.8 15.5
Shooting UVU SUU
Field Goals Made 28.3 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 61.8 57.8
Field Goal % 45.8% 41.6%
2 Pointers Made 24.1 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 47.5 38.4
2 Point Shooting % 50.9% 48.0%
3 Pointers Made 4.1 5.7
3 Pointers Attempted 14.3 19.4
3 Point Shooting % 29.0% 29.2%
Free Throws Made 12.8 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.6 21.7
Free Throw % 65.3% 71.3%
Ball Control UVU SUU
Rebounds 39.9 34.2
Rebounds - Defensive 28.4 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 8.5
Turnovers 10.5 10.9
Blocked Shots 4.5 3.5
Steals 6.4 6.0
Fouls 17.4 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Utah Valley

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVU SUU
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 73.9 70.5
% of Possessions with UVU SUU
2 Point Attempt 55.3% 46.1%
3 Point Attempt 16.6% 23.4%
Player Fouled 21.1% 23.9%
Turnover 14.4% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UVU SUU
Shot Blocked 6.1% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 30.9% 23.1%