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Michigan at Northwestern
Thu Feb 2, 2023
7:00pm ET
Evanston, IL
Michigan at Northwestern: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Northwestern by 3.5, Total Points: 138
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MICH | adv | NW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 8-24-0 | 18-14-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-17-0 | 13-8-0 | |
| Streak | L4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 5-10-0 | 9-7-1 | |
| Away | 3-14-0 | 9-7-1 |
Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | NC-Asheville | -10.5 | W by 25 | +14.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Youngs St | -16.5 | W by 30 | +13.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | St Johns | +3.0 | W by 16 | +19.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Lg Beach St | -15.0 | L by 8 | -23.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Stanford | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Texas Tech | -2.5 | L by 16 | -18.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Oregon | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | L by 3 | -9.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Iowa | +4.0 | W by 10 | +14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | E Michigan | -23.5 | W by 17 | -6.5 |
| 12/19 | Neutral | Florida | +3.5 | L by 5 | -1.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | McNeese St | -10.5 | L by 11 | -21.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Minnesota | -5.5 | L by 2 | -7.5 |
| 01/07 | Neutral | Penn St | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Maryland | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Ohio St | -1.5 | W by 8 | +6.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Illinois | +2.5 | L by 15 | -12.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Purdue | +18.0 | L by 32 | -14.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Iowa | -1.5 | L by 10 | -11.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Michigan St | +12.0 | L by 19 | -7.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Rutgers | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Wisconsin | +8.0 | W by 4 | +12.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Nebraska | +10.0 | L by 20 | -10.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Illinois | +15.5 | L by 29 | -13.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Michigan St | +6.0 | L by 10 | -4.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Northwestern | +11.5 | L by 14 | -2.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Purdue | +13.5 | L by 8 | +5.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Rutgers | +8.0 | L by 30 | -22.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Ohio St | +12.0 | L by 23 | -11.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Nebraska | +6.5 | L by 15 | -8.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Penn St | +7.0 | L by 9 | -2.0 |
Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Binghamton | -17.5 | W by 11 | -6.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Dayton | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | W Michigan | -23.5 | W by 4 | -19.5 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Rhode Island | -9.0 | W by 11 | +2.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Miss State | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | N Illinois | -13.5 | W by 22 | +8.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | Purdue | +5.5 | W by 4 | +9.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Detroit | -23.0 | W by 32 | +9.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Chicago St | -24.5 | L by 2 | -26.5 |
| 12/16 | Away | DePaul | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 19 | +15.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Jackson St | -18.0 | W by 11 | -7.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Illinois | +5.5 | L by 30 | -24.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Michigan St | +3.0 | W by 14 | +17.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Penn St | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Wisconsin | +7.5 | L by 8 | -0.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Maryland | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Nebraska | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 01/24 | Home | Illinois | +4.0 | W by 5 | +9.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 25 | +22.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Purdue | +14.0 | L by 9 | +5.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Minnesota | -1.5 | L by 9 | -10.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Nebraska | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/11 | Home | Penn St | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Rutgers | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | Indiana | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Michigan | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Maryland | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Iowa | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Michigan St | +9.0 | L by 4 | +5.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Minnesota | -4.5 | W by 24 | +19.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Wisconsin | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +4.5 | W by 12 | +16.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Connecticut | +13.5 | L by 17 | -3.5 |
| NW -3.5 | Open | -4.0 | High | -5.0 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3592 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Northwestern won the game 2218 times (61.7%).
- The team like Michigan won the game 1374 times (38.3%).
- The team like Northwestern did better against the spread, going 1792-1745-55 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4969 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 2470-2396-103 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | -4.5 | -4.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/02 07:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 02/02 06:43 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 06:35 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 02/02 05:43 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 04:13 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 02:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 02/02 02:46 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 01:37 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 12:37 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 12:10 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 11:37 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 11:24 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 02/02 10:49 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 10:24 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 02/02 10:10 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 08:04 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 07:54 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 02/02 07:04 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/02 03:43 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/01 11:33 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 02/01 11:10 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/01 09:31 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/01 09:13 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 02/01 08:19 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/01 05:49 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
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