NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GT DUKE
Points 68.7 79.2
Total Points   147.9
Points From 2-Pointers 37.2 37.4
Points From 3-Pointers 20.5 26.7
Points From Free Throws 11.0 15.0
Shooting GT DUKE
Field Goals Made 25.4 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 61.5
Field Goal % 43.3% 44.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 18.7
2 Pointers Attempted 37.1 36.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.1% 50.8%
3 Pointers Made 6.8 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 24.7
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 11.0 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 14.9 21.0
Free Throw % 73.6% 71.6%
Ball Control GT DUKE
Rebounds 35.5 36.7
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 11.1
Turnovers 10.6 6.6
Blocked Shots 4.5 3.3
Steals 3.3 6.3
Fouls 13.4 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: GA Tech

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GT DUKE
Total Possessions 68.9
Effective Scoring Chances 68.1 73.5
% of Possessions with GT DUKE
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 30.1%
Player Fouled 19.4% 19.5%
Turnover 15.4% 9.6%
Opponent Steal 9.2% 4.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken GT DUKE
Shot Blocked 5.4% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 27.6% 30.2%