NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GT WAKE
Points 70.1 78.0
Total Points   148.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.5 37.9
Points From 3-Pointers 23.3 24.5
Points From Free Throws 12.2 15.6
Shooting GT WAKE
Field Goals Made 25.0 27.1
Field Goals Attempted 59.1 60.0
Field Goal % 42.4% 45.2%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 19.0
2 Pointers Attempted 35.4 36.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.8% 52.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 23.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 34.4%
Free Throws Made 12.2 15.6
Free Throws Attempted 16.6 19.7
Free Throw % 73.6% 79.2%
Ball Control GT WAKE
Rebounds 36.1 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 26.8 26.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 8.1
Turnovers 10.9 7.5
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.5
Steals 3.8 5.8
Fouls 15.5 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: GA Tech

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GT WAKE
Total Possessions 70.7
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 71.3
% of Possessions with GT WAKE
2 Point Attempt 43.4% 45.2%
3 Point Attempt 29.1% 29.6%
Player Fouled 19.1% 22.0%
Turnover 15.3% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken GT WAKE
Shot Blocked 5.9% 5.9%
Offensive Rebound 25.8% 23.3%