NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GT VT
Points 72.2 76.0
Total Points   148.2
Points From 2-Pointers 38.1 35.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.0 25.6
Points From Free Throws 12.1 15.2
Shooting GT VT
Field Goals Made 26.4 26.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.6 59.2
Field Goal % 45.0% 44.1%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 36.7 33.2
2 Point Shooting % 51.8% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.9 26.0
3 Point Shooting % 33.4% 32.7%
Free Throws Made 12.1 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.5 19.0
Free Throw % 73.6% 79.8%
Ball Control GT VT
Rebounds 37.2 32.4
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 24.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.0 7.8
Turnovers 10.7 7.4
Blocked Shots 3.2 2.2
Steals 4.0 5.2
Fouls 14.8 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: GA Tech

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GT VT
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 70.2
% of Possessions with GT VT
2 Point Attempt 45.5% 42.0%
3 Point Attempt 27.1% 33.0%
Player Fouled 19.2% 21.2%
Turnover 15.3% 10.6%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 5.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken GT VT
Shot Blocked 3.7% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 22.3%