NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GT NCST
Points 69.9 76.1
Total Points   146.0
Points From 2-Pointers 33.4 39.6
Points From 3-Pointers 24.2 21.3
Points From Free Throws 12.3 15.2
Shooting GT NCST
Field Goals Made 24.8 26.9
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 62.3
Field Goal % 41.5% 43.2%
2 Pointers Made 16.7 19.8
2 Pointers Attempted 35.2 40.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.5% 48.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.1 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 21.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 12.3 15.2
Free Throws Attempted 16.7 21.0
Free Throw % 73.6% 72.6%
Ball Control GT NCST
Rebounds 39.1 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 28.4 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 10.1
Turnovers 11.4 6.4
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.4
Steals 3.0 6.9
Fouls 14.1 13.3

Playing Style Advantage: GA Tech

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GT NCST
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 74.5
% of Possessions with GT NCST
2 Point Attempt 42.4% 49.7%
3 Point Attempt 29.5% 26.1%
Player Fouled 18.8% 19.9%
Turnover 16.1% 9.0%
Opponent Steal 9.7% 4.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken GT NCST
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 26.2%